Rest of Season Projection
EzequielCategoryOzzie
7HR →8
45R →58
57RBI ←44
9SB ←0
.257AVG ←.243
Current Season
EzequielCategoryOzzie
4HR →9
25R →38
32RBI ←29
5SB ←0
.299AVG ←.274
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ezequiel Duran
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.374 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.312 is 0.043 below the surface — regression coming
Ozzie Albies
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.300 below league with no luck excuse
Ezequiel Duran: 7 HR / 45 R. Ozzie Albies: 8 HR / 58 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).