Rest of Season Projection
EzequielCategoryNick
10HR ←1
26R →38
30RBI ←19
6SB ←4
.234AVG ←.201
Current Season
EzequielCategoryNick
4HR ←1
17R ←10
20RBI ←5
4SB ←1
.216AVG →.255
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ezequiel Tovar
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.275 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Nick Allen
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.319 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.243 is 0.047 below the surface — regression coming
Ezequiel Tovar: 10 HR / 26 R. Nick Allen: 1 HR / 38 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).