MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 7, 2026
Portrait of Fernando Cruz
Fernando Cruz
NYY · P
Change to
Portrait of Graham Ashcraft
Graham Ashcraft
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Fernando Cruz.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and wins. Graham Ashcraft’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Fernando Cruz wins 3 categories (K, ERA, W); Graham Ashcraft wins 2 (WHIP, SV).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Fernando Cruz
93.1
Graham Ashcraft
98.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Fernando Cruz
17.2%
Graham Ashcraft
14.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Fernando Cruz
28.7%
Graham Ashcraft
29.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Fernando Cruz
29.1%
Graham Ashcraft
33.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Fernando Cruz
23.9%
Graham Ashcraft
36.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Fernando Cruz
7.7%
Graham Ashcraft
6.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Fernando Cruz
.277
Graham Ashcraft
.286
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Fernando Cruz
24.28
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.19
3.16
Graham Ashcraft
24.28
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.33
3.68
WHIPlower is better
Fernando Cruz
1.151.47
now 1.30
1.40
Graham Ashcraft
1.151.47
now 1.22
1.26

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Fernando Cruz
4039.20
now 30
20
Graham Ashcraft
4039.20
now 32
14
Winshigher is better
Fernando Cruz
.0004.20
now 3
13
Graham Ashcraft
.0004.20
now 1
01
Saveshigher is better
Fernando Cruz
.0002.40
now 0
0
Graham Ashcraft
.0002.40
now 1
01
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighFernando Cruz — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.81
Hold · wait & seeGraham Ashcraft — hold.conf 0.50
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