Rest of Season Projection
FosterCategoryRyan
103K →113
4.30ERA →3.98
1.25WHIP →1.18
6–14W ←2–5
0SV0
Current Season
FosterCategoryRyan
65K →75
3.76ERA →3.52
1.15WHIP →1.14
6W ←2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Foster Griffin
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.247 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.41 is 0.65 above the ERA — regression coming
Ryan Weathers
- xeraSIGNALskill near league average (3.98)
Foster Griffin: 103 K / 4.30 ERA. Ryan Weathers: 113 K / 3.98 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).