Rest of Season Projection
FosterCategorySpencer
103K →117
4.30ERA →3.98
1.25WHIP ←1.31
6–14W ←6–12
0SV0
Current Season
FosterCategorySpencer
65K ←40
3.76ERA3.77
1.15WHIP ←1.26
6W ←3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Foster Griffin
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.247 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.41 is 0.65 above the ERA — regression coming
Spencer Strider
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.91)
Foster Griffin: 103 K / 4.30 ERA. Spencer Strider: 117 K / 3.98 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).