Rest of Season Projection
NathanCategorySpencer
92K →109
4.44ERA →4.03
1.21WHIP ←1.31
5–10W5–10
0SV0
Current Season
NathanCategorySpencer
67K ←40
3.93ERA →3.77
1.11WHIP ←1.26
5W ←3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Nathan Eovaldi
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.275 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.63 is 0.37 above the ERA — regression coming
Spencer Strider
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.41)
Nathan Eovaldi: 92 K / 4.44 ERA. Spencer Strider: 109 K / 4.03 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).