MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · July 1, 2026
Gabriel Arias
CLE · SS
Change to
Portrait of Jared Triolo
Jared Triolo
PIT · SS
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Gabriel Arias.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, runs, and RBI. Jared Triolo’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Gabriel Arias wins 3 categories (HR, R, RBI); Jared Triolo wins 2 (SB, AVG).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Gabriel Arias
91.9
Jared Triolo
87.6
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Gabriel Arias
52.9%
Jared Triolo
37.2%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Gabriel Arias
11.8%
Jared Triolo
1.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Gabriel Arias
35.2%
Jared Triolo
24.0%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Gabriel Arias
22.3%
Jared Triolo
10.6%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Gabriel Arias
.272
Jared Triolo
.279
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Gabriel Arias
.200.260
lg AVG .295
now .200
.191
Jared Triolo
.200.260
lg AVG .295
now .235
.243

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Gabriel Arias
57
now 2
5
Jared Triolo
57
now 0
2
Runshigher is better
Gabriel Arias
2014.60
now 2
11
Jared Triolo
2014.60
now 4
9
RBIhigher is better
Gabriel Arias
2027.80
now 4
21
Jared Triolo
2027.80
now 5
11
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Gabriel Arias
.0005.60
now 0
0
Jared Triolo
.0005.60
now 2
4
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeGabriel Arias — hold.conf 0.50
SellJared Triolo — sell.conf 0.62
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