MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 30, 2026
Gabriel Hughes
COL · P
Change to
Portrait of Sean Manaea
Sean Manaea
NYM · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Gabriel Hughes wins 1 (ERA); Sean Manaea wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Gabriel Hughes
92.4
Sean Manaea
91.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Gabriel Hughes
9.9%
Sean Manaea
11.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Gabriel Hughes
19.8%
Sean Manaea
22.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Gabriel Hughes
26.6%
Sean Manaea
31.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Gabriel Hughes
32.0%
Sean Manaea
42.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Gabriel Hughes
6.0%
Sean Manaea
10.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Gabriel Hughes
.305
Sean Manaea
.333
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Gabriel Hughes
27.11
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.84
Sean Manaea
27.11
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.08
4.39
WHIPlower is better
Gabriel Hughes
.9001.64
now 1.00
1.36
Sean Manaea
.9001.64
now 1.46
1.28

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Gabriel Hughes
4058.80
now 1
0
Sean Manaea
4058.80
now 42
0
Winshigher is better
Gabriel Hughes
.000.480
now 0
0–0
Sean Manaea
.000.480
now 0
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowGabriel Hughes — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
SellSean Manaea — sell.conf 0.75
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