MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · July 1, 2026
Portrait of Gavin Collyer
Gavin Collyer
TEX · P
Change to
Tommy Nance
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Gavin Collyer wins 1 (W); Tommy Nance wins 1 (K); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Gavin Collyer
97.4
Tommy Nance
94.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Gavin Collyer
8.9%
Tommy Nance
12.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Gavin Collyer
19.7%
Tommy Nance
25.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Gavin Collyer
21.4%
Tommy Nance
37.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Gavin Collyer
26.2%
Tommy Nance
33.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Gavin Collyer
2.4%
Tommy Nance
6.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Gavin Collyer
.327
Tommy Nance
.312
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Gavin Collyer
3.463.93
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.71
3.70
Tommy Nance
3.463.93
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.68
3.71
WHIPlower is better
Gavin Collyer
1.091.50
now 1.41
1.24
Tommy Nance
1.091.50
now 1.18
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Gavin Collyer
4040.20
now 15
23
Tommy Nance
4040.20
now 26
33
Winshigher is better
Gavin Collyer
.0002.80
now 1
12
Tommy Nance
.0002.80
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighGavin Collyer — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.85
Hold · wait & seeTommy Nance — hold.conf 0.50
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