Rest of Season Projection
GordonCategoryMark
25K →42
3.84ERA →3.72
1.26WHIP →1.24
3–9W ←0–0
1–3SV →5–8
Current Season
GordonCategoryMark
14K →25
1.80ERA ←5.47
0.90WHIP ←1.46
4W ←0
1SV →4
What Each Player's System Trusts
Gordon Graceffo
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.155 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.26 is 3.50 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Mark Leiter Jr.
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.347 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Gordon Graceffo: 25 K / 3.84 ERA. Mark Leiter Jr.: 42 K / 3.72 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).