Rest of Season Projection
GordonCategoryMatt
25K →41
3.84ERA →3.69
1.26WHIP →1.24
3–9W ←1–2
1–3SV →1–3
Current Season
GordonCategoryMatt
14K →27
1.80ERA ←4.68
0.90WHIP ←1.24
4W ←1
1SV1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Gordon Graceffo
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.155 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.26 is 3.50 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Matt Festa
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.57)
Gordon Graceffo: 25 K / 3.84 ERA. Matt Festa: 41 K / 3.69 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).