Rest of Season Projection
GordonCategoryScott
25K →44
3.84ERA →3.70
1.26WHIP1.26
3–9W ←1–2
1–3SV →1–6
Current Season
GordonCategoryScott
14K →22
1.80ERA ←3.08
0.90WHIP ←0.99
4W ←1
1SV →2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Gordon Graceffo
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.155 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.25 is 3.49 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Scott Barlow
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.147 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.69 is 0.69 above the ERA — regression coming
Gordon Graceffo: 25 K / 3.84 ERA. Scott Barlow: 44 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).