Rest of Season Projection
GordonCategoryJovani
25K →53
3.84ERA →3.62
1.26WHIP →1.25
3–9W ←1–2
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
GordonCategoryJovani
14K →35
1.80ERA ←3.19
0.90WHIP ←1.06
4W ←1
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Gordon Graceffo
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.155 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.25 is 3.49 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Jovani Morán
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.94)
Gordon Graceffo: 25 K / 3.84 ERA. Jovani Morán: 53 K / 3.62 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).