Rest of Season Projection
GordonCategoryTony
26K →44
3.84ERA →3.75
1.26WHIP →1.25
3–9W ←1–2
1–3SV →2–5
Current Season
GordonCategoryTony
14K →22
1.80ERA ←5.56
0.90WHIP ←1.50
4W ←1
1SV →2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Gordon Graceffo
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.155 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.24 is 3.48 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Tony Santillan
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.74)
Gordon Graceffo: 26 K / 3.84 ERA. Tony Santillan: 44 K / 3.75 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).