Rest of Season Projection
GordonCategoryJustin
26K →47
3.84ERA →3.61
1.26WHIP →1.24
3–9W ←2–5
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
GordonCategoryJustin
14K →26
1.80ERA ←3.54
0.90WHIP ←1.11
4W ←2
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Gordon Graceffo
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.155 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.24 is 3.48 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Justin Sterner
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.42)
Gordon Graceffo: 26 K / 3.84 ERA. Justin Sterner: 47 K / 3.61 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).