MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 20, 2026
Jack Dreyer
LAD · P
Change to
Portrait of Justin Sterner
Justin Sterner
ATH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Justin Sterner.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts. Jack Dreyer’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Justin Sterner wins 1 categories (K); Jack Dreyer wins 0 (none); 3 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Jack Dreyer
93.8
Justin Sterner
93.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Jack Dreyer
13.6%
Justin Sterner
15.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Jack Dreyer
29.5%
Justin Sterner
21.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Jack Dreyer
33.0%
Justin Sterner
33.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Jack Dreyer
40.4%
Justin Sterner
45.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Jack Dreyer
7.1%
Justin Sterner
9.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Jack Dreyer
.273
Justin Sterner
.292
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Jack Dreyer
2.424.05
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.78
3.68
Justin Sterner
2.424.05
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.54
3.69
WHIPlower is better
Jack Dreyer
.9201.33
now 1.01
1.24
Justin Sterner
.9201.33
now 1.11
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Jack Dreyer
4031.60
now 24
20
Justin Sterner
4031.60
now 26
21
Winshigher is better
Jack Dreyer
.2003.80
now 2
13
Justin Sterner
.2003.80
now 2
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeJack Dreyer — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeJustin Sterner — hold.conf 0.50
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