MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of José Fermin
José Fermin
LAA · P
Change to
Portrait of Justin Sterner
Justin Sterner
ATH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 00, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

José Fermin wins 0 (none); Justin Sterner wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
José Fermin
96.3
Justin Sterner
93.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
José Fermin
14.9%
Justin Sterner
15.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
José Fermin
25.2%
Justin Sterner
21.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
José Fermin
32.8%
Justin Sterner
33.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
José Fermin
45.1%
Justin Sterner
44.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
José Fermin
7.0%
Justin Sterner
9.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
José Fermin
.316
Justin Sterner
.292
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
José Fermin
2.806.14
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.40
3.70
Justin Sterner
2.806.14
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.54
3.69
WHIPlower is better
José Fermin
.9001.89
now 1.67
1.24
Justin Sterner
.9001.89
now 1.11
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
José Fermin
4031.60
now 18
22
Justin Sterner
4031.60
now 26
22
Winshigher is better
José Fermin
.0005.20
now 2
14
Justin Sterner
.0005.20
now 2
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighJosé Fermin — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.93
Hold · wait & seeJustin Sterner — hold.conf 0.50
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