MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 23, 2026
Portrait of José Alvarado
José Alvarado
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Justin Sterner
Justin Sterner
ATH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

José Alvarado wins 2 (K, SV); Justin Sterner wins 2 (ERA, W); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
José Alvarado
97.3
Justin Sterner
93.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
José Alvarado
14.9%
Justin Sterner
16.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
José Alvarado
27.5%
Justin Sterner
24.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
José Alvarado
36.1%
Justin Sterner
36.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
José Alvarado
31.3%
Justin Sterner
44.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
José Alvarado
3.8%
Justin Sterner
6.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
José Alvarado
.308
Justin Sterner
.252
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
José Alvarado
2.726.41
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.70
Justin Sterner
2.726.41
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.54
3.62
WHIPlower is better
José Alvarado
.9002.09
now 1.81
1.24
Justin Sterner
.9002.09
now 1.11
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
José Alvarado
4044.60
now 26
39
Justin Sterner
4044.60
now 26
31
Winshigher is better
José Alvarado
.2003.80
now 1
12
Justin Sterner
.2003.80
now 2
13
Saveshigher is better
José Alvarado
.0004.40
now 1
13
Justin Sterner
.0004.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowJosé Alvarado — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Hold · wait & seeJustin Sterner — hold.conf 0.50
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