Rest of Season Projection
GordonCategoryRyne
26K →53
3.84ERA →3.72
1.26WHIP →1.25
3–9W ←1–3
1–3SV1–3
Current Season
GordonCategoryRyne
14K →30
1.80ERA ←5.56
0.90WHIP ←1.76
4W ←1
1SV1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Gordon Graceffo
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.155 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.24 is 3.48 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Ryne Stanek
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.357 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Gordon Graceffo: 26 K / 3.84 ERA. Ryne Stanek: 53 K / 3.72 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).