Rest of Season Projection
GordonCategorySpencer
26K →52
3.84ERA →3.67
1.26WHIP →1.25
3–9W ←2–5
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
GordonCategorySpencer
14K →34
1.80ERA ←3.47
0.90WHIP ←1.16
4W ←2
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Gordon Graceffo
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.155 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.24 is 3.48 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Spencer Miles
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.53)
Gordon Graceffo: 26 K / 3.84 ERA. Spencer Miles: 52 K / 3.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).