Rest of Season Projection
MattCategoryScott
41K →44
3.69ERA ←3.71
1.24WHIP ←1.26
1–2W1–2
1–3SV →1–6
Current Season
MattCategoryScott
27K ←22
4.68ERA →3.08
1.24WHIP →0.99
1W1
1SV →2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Matt Festa
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.57)
Scott Barlow
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.153 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.91 is 0.37 above the ERA — regression coming
Matt Festa: 41 K / 3.69 ERA. Scott Barlow: 44 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).