Rest of Season Projection
GordonCategoryNick
22K →31
3.84ERA →3.70
1.26WHIP →1.24
3–8W ←2–5
1–2SV ←0
Current Season
GordonCategoryNick
14K →15
1.80ERA ←5.12
0.90WHIP ←1.50
4W ←2
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Gordon Graceffo
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.167 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.27 is 3.63 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Nick Mears
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (6.27)
Gordon Graceffo (3.85 ERA / 23 K) trails Nick Mears (3.70 ERA / 32 K) in both rate and counting stats; the sell-high verdict on Graceffo reflects the gap.