Rest of Season Projection
GrantCategoryKyle
32K →37
3.68ERA ←3.74
1.25WHIP ←1.29
1–2W1–2
0SV →1–2
Current Season
GrantCategoryKyle
18K ←16
2.59ERA →1.93
0.99WHIP ←1.54
1W1
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Grant Anderson
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.217 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.07 is 0.48 above the ERA — regression coming
Kyle Finnegan
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.29)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Grant Anderson: 32 K / 3.68 ERA. Kyle Finnegan: 37 K / 3.74 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).