Rest of Season Projection
GrantCategoryWalker
100K ←89
4.37ERA ←4.44
1.37WHIP →1.36
3–8W →4–8
0SV0
Current Season
GrantCategoryWalker
53K ←43
3.95ERA ←4.88
1.33WHIP →1.32
3W3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Grant Holmes
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.256 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.51 is 0.65 above the ERA — regression coming
Walker Buehler
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.63 +0.53 vs league with no luck excuse
Grant Holmes: 100 K / 4.37 ERA. Walker Buehler: 89 K / 4.44 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).