Rest of Season Projection
GriffinCategoryKeegan
48K ←37
3.88ERA →3.70
1.27WHIP →1.24
1–2W ←0–0
0SV0
Current Season
GriffinCategoryKeegan
32K ←12
4.76ERA ←9.88
1.47WHIP ←1.83
1W ←0
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Griffin Jax
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.08)
Keegan Akin
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.323 elevated and unstable — the 7.58 ERA overstates the damage
- xeraNOISEbut luck-free xERA 4.53 is +0.43 vs league — the level it regresses to is below average, not a buy
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Griffin Jax: 48 K / 3.88 ERA. Keegan Akin: 37 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).