MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · July 31, 2026
Portrait of Gunnar Henderson
Gunnar Henderson
BAL · SS
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Tolbert
Tyler Tolbert
KC · SS
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Tyler Tolbert.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — runs, steals, and average. Gunnar Henderson’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Tyler Tolbert wins 3 categories (R, SB, AVG); Gunnar Henderson wins 2 (HR, RBI).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Gunnar Henderson
89.4
Tyler Tolbert
86.1
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Gunnar Henderson
44.3%
Tyler Tolbert
31.1%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Gunnar Henderson
7.2%
Tyler Tolbert
4.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Gunnar Henderson
31.8%
Tyler Tolbert
29.5%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Gunnar Henderson
11.8%
Tyler Tolbert
12.8%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Gunnar Henderson
.303
Tyler Tolbert
.313
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Gunnar Henderson
.200.320
lg AVG .295
now .219
.202
Tyler Tolbert
.200.320
lg AVG .295
now .143
.269

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Gunnar Henderson
518.20
now 13
3
Tyler Tolbert
518.20
now 0
1
Runshigher is better
Gunnar Henderson
2042.60
now 31
19
Tyler Tolbert
2042.60
now 2
21
RBIhigher is better
Gunnar Henderson
2044.80
now 32
19
Tyler Tolbert
2044.80
now 0
0
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Gunnar Henderson
.00043.60
now 6
4
Tyler Tolbert
.00043.60
now 3
32
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellGunnar Henderson — hold.conf 0.60
Sell HighTyler Tolbert — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.70
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