Rest of Season Projection
HenryCategoryTyler
4HR →11
15R →29
15RBI →18
15SB ←0
.221AVG ←.203
Current Season
HenryCategoryTyler
0HR →2
4R →13
4RBI →8
4SB ←0
.288AVG ←.158
What Each Player's System Trusts
Henry Bolte
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.434 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.274 is 0.066 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Tyler O'Neill
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.273)
Henry Bolte: 3 HR / 16 R. Tyler O'Neill: 10 HR / 30 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).