Rest of Season Projection
HobyCategoryTyler
31K →39
3.76ERA →3.71
1.25WHIP1.25
1–3W1–2
1–3SV ←0
Current Season
HobyCategoryTyler
12K →24
2.49ERA ←4.23
1.03WHIP ←1.37
1W1
1SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Hoby Milner
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.217 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.91 is 2.58 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Tyler Holton
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.82)
Hoby Milner: 31 K / 3.76 ERA. Tyler Holton: 39 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).