Rest of Season Projection
HuascarCategoryJuan
42K →49
3.62ERA ←3.71
1.26WHIP1.26
3–7W ←1–2
0SV →3–6
Current Season
HuascarCategoryJuan
24K →30
1.86ERA ←6.00
0.97WHIP ←1.70
3W ←1
0SV →3
What Each Player's System Trusts
Huascar Brazobán
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.205 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.72 is 0.37 above the ERA — regression coming
Juan Mejia
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.372 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Huascar Brazobán: 42 K / 3.62 ERA. Juan Mejia: 49 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).