MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Hunter Dobbins
STL · P
Change to
Sean Sullivan
COL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Hunter Dobbins.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA. Sean Sullivan’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Hunter Dobbins wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Sean Sullivan wins 1 (WHIP); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Hunter Dobbins
94.6
Sean Sullivan
87.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Hunter Dobbins
10.3%
Sean Sullivan
7.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Hunter Dobbins
22.5%
Sean Sullivan
14.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Hunter Dobbins
26.6%
Sean Sullivan
28.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Hunter Dobbins
39.2%
Sean Sullivan
34.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Hunter Dobbins
7.2%
Sean Sullivan
9.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Hunter Dobbins
.307
Sean Sullivan
.335
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Hunter Dobbins
26.30
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.50
3.95
Sean Sullivan
26.30
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
4.10
WHIPlower is better
Hunter Dobbins
.9001.68
now 1.38
1.39
Sean Sullivan
.9001.68
now 0.67
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Hunter Dobbins
4014.60
now 8
9
Sean Sullivan
4014.60
now 2
6
Winshigher is better
Hunter Dobbins
.000.480
now 0
00
Sean Sullivan
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyHunter Dobbins — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeSean Sullivan — hold.conf 0.55
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