MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · July 1, 2026
Jack Dreyer
LAD · P
Change to
Portrait of Matt Festa
Matt Festa
CLE · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Jack Dreyer wins 2 (ERA, W); Matt Festa wins 2 (K, SV); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Jack Dreyer
93.6
Matt Festa
92.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Jack Dreyer
12.5%
Matt Festa
13.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Jack Dreyer
27.6%
Matt Festa
24.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Jack Dreyer
30.6%
Matt Festa
33.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Jack Dreyer
39.1%
Matt Festa
36.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Jack Dreyer
8.0%
Matt Festa
8.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Jack Dreyer
.291
Matt Festa
.311
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Jack Dreyer
2.025.44
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.78
3.69
Matt Festa
2.025.44
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.68
3.71
WHIPlower is better
Jack Dreyer
.9201.33
now 1.01
1.24
Matt Festa
.9201.33
now 1.24
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Jack Dreyer
4035.60
now 24
27
Matt Festa
4035.60
now 27
30
Winshigher is better
Jack Dreyer
.0005.20
now 2
14
Matt Festa
.0005.20
now 1
12
Saveshigher is better
Jack Dreyer
.0003.40
now 0
0
Matt Festa
.0003.40
now 1
02
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeJack Dreyer — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeMatt Festa — hold.conf 0.50
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