Rest of Season Projection
JacksonCategoryJordan
12HR →14
36R →58
31RBI →64
14SB ←10
.251AVG →.257
Current Season
JacksonCategoryJordan
2HR →15
13R →39
11RBI →43
5SB →7
.276AVG →.284
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jackson Chourio
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.403 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.349 is 0.036 below the surface — regression coming
Jordan Walker
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.370, +0.055 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Jackson Chourio: 12 HR / 36 R. Jordan Walker: 14 HR / 58 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).