MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Jacob deGrom
Jacob deGrom
TEX · P
Change to
Portrait of Joe Ryan
Joe Ryan
MIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Jacob deGrom.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and WHIP. Joe Ryan’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Jacob deGrom wins 2 categories (K, WHIP); Joe Ryan wins 1 (ERA); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Jacob deGrom
97.2
Joe Ryan
93.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Jacob deGrom
17.9%
Joe Ryan
13.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Jacob deGrom
30.4%
Joe Ryan
28.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Jacob deGrom
34.2%
Joe Ryan
32.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Jacob deGrom
44.0%
Joe Ryan
41.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Jacob deGrom
8.9%
Joe Ryan
10.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Jacob deGrom
.289
Joe Ryan
.279
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Jacob deGrom
2.973.70
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.48
3.43
Joe Ryan
2.973.70
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.20
3.19
WHIPlower is better
Jacob deGrom
.9001.19
now 1.01
1.06
Joe Ryan
.9001.19
now 0.97
1.12

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Jacob deGrom
5885
now 78
68
Joe Ryan
5885
now 79
64
Winshigher is better
Jacob deGrom
.8006.20
now 4
25
Joe Ryan
.8006.20
now 4
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyJacob deGrom — buy.conf 0.80
BuyJoe Ryan — buy.conf 0.87
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