Rest of Season Projection
DylanCategoryJacob
135K ←117
2.95ERA ←3.65
1.17WHIP →1.06
3–6W →4–8
0SV0
Current Season
DylanCategoryJacob
103K ←78
2.91ERA ←3.48
1.16WHIP →1.01
3W →4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Dylan Cease
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 2.95, 1.15 below league — production is earned
Jacob deGrom
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.247 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.65 is 0.47 above the ERA — regression coming
Dylan Cease: 140 K / 2.93 ERA. Jacob deGrom: 120 K / 3.63 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).