Rest of Season Projection
JacobCategoryMiles
163K ←66
2.19ERA ←4.89
0.98WHIP ←1.35
6–13W ←1–3
0SV0
Current Season
JacobCategoryMiles
108K ←32
1.65ERA ←6.08
0.79WHIP ←1.41
6W ←1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jacob Misiorowski
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.243 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.19 is 0.54 above the ERA — regression coming
Miles Mikolas
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.31 +1.21 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Jacob Misiorowski: 163 K / 2.19 ERA. Miles Mikolas: 66 K / 4.89 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).