Rest of Season Projection
ChaseCategoryJacob
130K →168
2.89ERA →2.19
1.17WHIP →0.98
8–17W ←6–14
0SV0
Current Season
ChaseCategoryJacob
72K →108
1.96ERA →1.65
0.96WHIP →0.79
7W ←6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chase Burns
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.230 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.89 is 0.93 above the ERA — regression coming
Jacob Misiorowski
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.243 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.19 is 0.54 above the ERA — regression coming
Burns trails Misiorowski 130 K vs 168 K and 2.89 ERA vs 2.19 ERA—both sell-high calls, but Misiorowski's larger edge in Ks and ERA favors his trade value.