MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 27, 2026
Portrait of Chase Burns
Chase Burns
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Gavin Williams
Gavin Williams
CLE · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Gavin Williams.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — WHIP and wins.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Gavin Williams wins 2 categories (WHIP, W); Chase Burns wins 1 (ERA); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chase Burns
97.8
Gavin Williams
97.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chase Burns
15.6%
Gavin Williams
14.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chase Burns
28.6%
Gavin Williams
30.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chase Burns
34.0%
Gavin Williams
33.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chase Burns
36.4%
Gavin Williams
48.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chase Burns
8.6%
Gavin Williams
11.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chase Burns
.276
Gavin Williams
.312
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chase Burns
24.94
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.96
3.15
Gavin Williams
24.94
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.07
4.09
WHIPlower is better
Chase Burns
.9001.34
now 0.96
1.23
Gavin Williams
.9001.34
now 1.09
1.14

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chase Burns
46100
now 72
58
Gavin Williams
46100
now 88
58
Winshigher is better
Chase Burns
2.409.60
now 7
48
Gavin Williams
2.409.60
now 8
48

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighChase Burns — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.94
Hold · steadyGavin Williams — hold.conf 0.60
Tweet