MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Cade Cavalli
Cade Cavalli
WSH · P
Change to
Portrait of Chase Burns
Chase Burns
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Cade Cavalli wins 1 (WHIP); Chase Burns wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Cade Cavalli
96.8
Chase Burns
97.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Cade Cavalli
13.0%
Chase Burns
15.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Cade Cavalli
28.3%
Chase Burns
29.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Cade Cavalli
32.1%
Chase Burns
34.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Cade Cavalli
40.5%
Chase Burns
38.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Cade Cavalli
7.0%
Chase Burns
8.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Cade Cavalli
.296
Chase Burns
.279
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Cade Cavalli
24.37
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.62
3.68
Chase Burns
24.37
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.96
3.24
WHIPlower is better
Cade Cavalli
.9001.60
now 1.42
1.21
Chase Burns
.9001.60
now 0.96
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Cade Cavalli
40103.60
now 74
0
Chase Burns
40103.60
now 72
0
Winshigher is better
Cade Cavalli
.0009.80
now 3
0–0
Chase Burns
.0009.80
now 7
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyCade Cavalli — buy.conf 0.73
BuyChase Burns — buy.conf 0.86
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