Rest of Season Projection
BraxtonCategoryJacob
125K →168
2.76ERA →2.19
1.14WHIP →0.98
5–11W →6–14
0SV0
Current Season
BraxtonCategoryJacob
81K →108
2.77ERA →1.65
1.03WHIP →0.79
5W →6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Braxton Ashcraft
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 2.76, 1.34 below league — production is earned
Jacob Misiorowski
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.243 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.19 is 0.54 above the ERA — regression coming
Braxton Ashcraft: 125 K / 2.76 ERA. Jacob Misiorowski: 168 K / 2.19 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).