MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 11, 2026
Portrait of Jaden Hill
Jaden Hill
COL · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyron Guerrero
Tyron Guerrero
BOS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Tyron Guerrero.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts. Jaden Hill’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Tyron Guerrero wins 1 categories (K); Jaden Hill wins 0 (none); 3 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Jaden Hill
97.1
Tyron Guerrero
95.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Jaden Hill
14.5%
Tyron Guerrero
15.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Jaden Hill
22.0%
Tyron Guerrero
30.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Jaden Hill
28.8%
Tyron Guerrero
33.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Jaden Hill
39.7%
Tyron Guerrero
24.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Jaden Hill
3.8%
Tyron Guerrero
6.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Jaden Hill
.316
Tyron Guerrero
.246
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Jaden Hill
2.108.08
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.43
3.70
Tyron Guerrero
2.108.08
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.75
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Jaden Hill
1.141.60
now 1.43
1.24
Tyron Guerrero
1.141.60
now 1.50
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Jaden Hill
4032.80
now 23
25
Tyron Guerrero
4032.80
now 9
26
Winshigher is better
Jaden Hill
.000.480
now 0
00
Tyron Guerrero
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowJaden Hill — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.87
Hold · wait & seeTyron Guerrero — hold.conf 0.50
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