week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Jaden Hill
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (3.97); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 5ERA 3.70WHIP 1.24W 0–0SV 0
Hill is a hold — league average, nothing unstable underneath.
ROS projects K 23 YTD → 5 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %22.6%—+0.2% ▲vs his ~22.4% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.97)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed35.7%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−4.3%vs his norm —
98 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed4.1%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.9%vs his norm —
98 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.308
lg avg .315 ▼−.007vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
159 / 200 TBF
xERA3.97
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.13vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
159 / 200 TBF
ERA4.67
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.57vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
34.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %22.6%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+0.6%vs his norm +0.2% ▲
159 / 70 TBF
Walk %13.2%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+5.2%vs his norm +3.1% ▲Walk % is above his ~10.1% norm — expect it to fall.
159 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.295
lg avg .295 .000vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
98 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %14.2%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+3.2%vs his norm —
159 / 60 TBF
Chase %28.0%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−0.5%vs his norm —
159 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo97.0 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+3.0 mphvs his norm —
611 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 22.6%→22.5%signal5 K — K% 22.6% (signal) tempered to career ~22.4% → projected 22.5% over ~4 remaining IP.
xERA 3.97noise3.70 ERA — xERA 3.97 (noise) blended 1% skill / 99% league 3.70 at 21 IP.
BB% 13.2% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 13% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.295 gives a 1.56 skill WHIP, blended 1…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (setup)0 SV — role: setup, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.