week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Jaden Hill
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (3.95); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 0WHIP 1.24ERA 3.70W 0–0SV 0
Hill is a hold — steady strikeouts, but the walks cap the upside.
ROS projects K 23 YTD → 0 ROS, WHIP 1.43 YTD → 1.24 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Walk %12.7%—+2.6% ▲vs his ~10.1% career norm
- Strikeout %22.1%—−0.3% ▼vs his ~22.4% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.95)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed36.8%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−3.2%vs his norm —
114 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed4.4%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.6%vs his norm —
114 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.306
lg avg .315 ▼−.009vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
181 / 200 TBF
xERA3.95
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.15vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
181 / 200 TBF
ERA5.22
lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.12vs his norm —ERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
39.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %22.1%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+0.1%vs his norm −0.3% ▼
181 / 70 TBF
Walk %12.7%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+4.7%vs his norm +2.6% ▲
181 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.297
lg avg .295 ▲+.002vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
114 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %14.3%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+3.3%vs his norm —
181 / 60 TBF
Chase %27.9%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−0.6%vs his norm —
181 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo96.9 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+2.9 mphvs his norm —
692 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 22.1%→22.3%signal0 K — K% 22.1% (signal) held to career ~22.4% → projected 22.3% over ~0 remaining IP.
xERA 3.95noise3.70 ERA — xERA 3.95 (noise) blended 1% skill / 99% league 3.70 at 21 IP.
BB% 12.7% + contactsignal1.24 WHIP — a 13% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.295 gives a 1.55 skill WHIP, blended 1…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (setup)0 SV — role: setup, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.