MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 4, 2026
Burch Smith
DET · P
Change to
Portrait of Jaden Hill
Jaden Hill
COL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 00, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Burch Smith wins 0 (none); Jaden Hill wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Burch Smith
93.8
Jaden Hill
97.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
10.4%
Jaden Hill
14.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
27.4%
Jaden Hill
22.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Burch Smith
26.2%
Jaden Hill
28.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
47.8%
Jaden Hill
39.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
4.3%
Jaden Hill
3.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Burch Smith
.287
Jaden Hill
.316
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Burch Smith
2.963.92
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.18
3.70
Jaden Hill
2.963.92
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.43
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Burch Smith
1.151.56
now 1.47
1.24
Jaden Hill
1.151.56
now 1.43
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Burch Smith
4028.60
now 20
16
Jaden Hill
4028.60
now 23
16
Winshigher is better
Burch Smith
.000.480
now 0
00
Jaden Hill
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBurch Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Buy LowJaden Hill — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.86
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