MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 28, 2026
Portrait of Andrew Kittredge
Andrew Kittredge
BAL · P
Change to
Burch Smith
DET · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 00, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Andrew Kittredge wins 0 (none); Burch Smith wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Kittredge
94.4
Burch Smith
93.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Kittredge
12.3%
Burch Smith
10.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Kittredge
20.3%
Burch Smith
27.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Kittredge
39.5%
Burch Smith
26.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Kittredge
39.6%
Burch Smith
47.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Kittredge
7.3%
Burch Smith
4.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Kittredge
.307
Burch Smith
.287
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Kittredge
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 7.59
3.70
Burch Smith
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.18
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Kittredge
1.061.87
now 1.69
1.24
Burch Smith
1.061.87
now 1.47
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Kittredge
4025.60
now 12
18
Burch Smith
4025.60
now 20
18
Winshigher is better
Andrew Kittredge
.000.480
now 0
00
Burch Smith
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeAndrew Kittredge — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeBurch Smith — hold.conf 0.50
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