MLB Daily DeltaWeek 12 · June 13, 2026
Engraved portrait of Andrew Kittredge
Andrew Kittredge
BAL·P
Buy Low high·0.90
Change to
Burch Smith
DET·P
Hold med·0.50
Change to

Rest of Season Projection

AndrewCategoryBurch
34K34
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
0–0W0–0
0SV0

Current Season

AndrewCategoryBurch
12K 20
7.59ERA 3.18
1.69WHIP 1.47
0W0
0SV0

What Each Player's System Trusts

Andrew Kittredge
  • xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.15 sits 0.95 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.340 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Burch Smith
  • xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.29)

Andrew Kittredge: 34 K / 3.70 ERA. Burch Smith: 34 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.

Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

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