MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Burch Smith
DET · P
Change to
Portrait of Justin Slaten
Justin Slaten
BOS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 00, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Burch Smith wins 0 (none); Justin Slaten wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Burch Smith
93.8
Justin Slaten
96.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
10.4%
Justin Slaten
12.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
27.4%
Justin Slaten
28.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Burch Smith
26.2%
Justin Slaten
33.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
47.8%
Justin Slaten
36.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
4.3%
Justin Slaten
4.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Burch Smith
.287
Justin Slaten
.266
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Burch Smith
2.963.92
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.18
3.70
Justin Slaten
2.963.92
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.60
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Burch Smith
1.151.56
now 1.47
1.24
Justin Slaten
1.151.56
now 1.30
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Burch Smith
4026
now 20
5
Justin Slaten
4026
now 14
5
Winshigher is better
Burch Smith
.000.480
now 0
00
Justin Slaten
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBurch Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Buy LowJustin Slaten — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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