MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Alex Vesia
Alex Vesia
LAD · P
Change to
Burch Smith
DET · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Alex Vesia.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Alex Vesia wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Burch Smith wins 1 (WHIP); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Alex Vesia
92.1
Burch Smith
93.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Alex Vesia
15.8%
Burch Smith
10.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Alex Vesia
30.2%
Burch Smith
27.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Alex Vesia
31.9%
Burch Smith
26.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Alex Vesia
36.1%
Burch Smith
47.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Alex Vesia
6.7%
Burch Smith
4.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Alex Vesia
.272
Burch Smith
.287
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Alex Vesia
24.30
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.21
3.06
Burch Smith
24.30
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.18
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Alex Vesia
.9001.69
now 0.93
1.36
Burch Smith
.9001.69
now 1.47
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Alex Vesia
4037.20
now 28
6
Burch Smith
4037.20
now 20
5
Winshigher is better
Alex Vesia
.0001.48
now 1
00
Burch Smith
.0001.48
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyAlex Vesia — buy.conf 0.91
Hold · wait & seeBurch Smith — hold.conf 0.50
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