MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Burch Smith
DET · P
Change to
Portrait of Gabe Speier
Gabe Speier
SEA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 00, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Burch Smith wins 0 (none); Gabe Speier wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Burch Smith
93.8
Gabe Speier
95.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
10.4%
Gabe Speier
11.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
27.4%
Gabe Speier
21.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Burch Smith
26.2%
Gabe Speier
31.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
47.8%
Gabe Speier
37.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
4.3%
Gabe Speier
9.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Burch Smith
.287
Gabe Speier
.304
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Burch Smith
24.20
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.18
3.70
Gabe Speier
24.20
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.45
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Burch Smith
1.151.56
now 1.47
1.24
Gabe Speier
1.151.56
now 1.30
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Burch Smith
4026
now 20
5
Gabe Speier
4026
now 16
5
Winshigher is better
Burch Smith
.0001.48
now 0
00
Gabe Speier
.0001.48
now 1
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBurch Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighGabe Speier — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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