MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 27, 2026
Burch Smith
DET · P
Change to
Randy Dobnak
KC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 00, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Burch Smith wins 0 (none); Randy Dobnak wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Burch Smith
93.8
Randy Dobnak
92.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
10.4%
Randy Dobnak
8.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
27.4%
Randy Dobnak
12.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Burch Smith
26.2%
Randy Dobnak
33.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
47.8%
Randy Dobnak
41.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
4.3%
Randy Dobnak
4.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Burch Smith
.287
Randy Dobnak
.343
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Burch Smith
2.655.03
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.18
3.70
Randy Dobnak
2.655.03
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.50
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Burch Smith
1.041.95
now 1.47
1.24
Randy Dobnak
1.041.95
now 1.75
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Burch Smith
4027.20
now 20
18
Randy Dobnak
4027.20
now 2
18
Winshigher is better
Burch Smith
.000.480
now 0
00
Randy Dobnak
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBurch Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighRandy Dobnak — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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