MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 29, 2026
Burch Smith
DET · P
Change to
Portrait of Sam Hentges
Sam Hentges
SF · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Sam Hentges.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts. Burch Smith’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Sam Hentges wins 1 categories (K); Burch Smith wins 0 (none); 3 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Burch Smith
93.8
Sam Hentges
93.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
10.4%
Sam Hentges
11.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
27.4%
Sam Hentges
22.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Burch Smith
26.2%
Sam Hentges
28.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
47.8%
Sam Hentges
28.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
4.3%
Sam Hentges
5.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Burch Smith
.287
Sam Hentges
.321
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Burch Smith
24.71
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.18
3.70
Sam Hentges
24.71
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.17
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Burch Smith
1.111.70
now 1.47
1.24
Sam Hentges
1.111.70
now 1.57
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Burch Smith
4037
now 20
28
Sam Hentges
4037
now 9
29
Winshigher is better
Burch Smith
.000.480
now 0
00
Sam Hentges
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBurch Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeSam Hentges — hold.conf 0.50
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