MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Burch Smith
DET · P
Change to
Portrait of Sam Hentges
Sam Hentges
SF · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 00, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Burch Smith wins 0 (none); Sam Hentges wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Burch Smith
93.8
Sam Hentges
94.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
10.4%
Sam Hentges
12.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
27.4%
Sam Hentges
22.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Burch Smith
26.2%
Sam Hentges
25.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
47.8%
Sam Hentges
30.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
4.3%
Sam Hentges
4.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Burch Smith
.287
Sam Hentges
.300
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Burch Smith
24.71
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.18
3.70
Sam Hentges
24.71
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.17
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Burch Smith
1.111.70
now 1.47
1.24
Sam Hentges
1.111.70
now 1.57
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Burch Smith
4026
now 20
5
Sam Hentges
4026
now 9
5
Winshigher is better
Burch Smith
.000.480
now 0
00
Sam Hentges
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBurch Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeSam Hentges — hold.conf 0.50
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