MLB Daily DeltaWeek 14 · June 29, 2026
Burch Smith
DET · P
Change to
Portrait of Trevor Richards
Trevor Richards
CWS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Trevor Richards.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts. Burch Smith’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Trevor Richards wins 1 categories (K); Burch Smith wins 0 (none); 3 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Burch Smith
93.8
Trevor Richards
92.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
10.4%
Trevor Richards
9.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
27.4%
Trevor Richards
20.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Burch Smith
26.2%
Trevor Richards
28.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
47.8%
Trevor Richards
37.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
4.3%
Trevor Richards
7.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Burch Smith
.287
Trevor Richards
.319
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Burch Smith
2.206.61
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.18
3.70
Trevor Richards
2.206.61
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.63
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Burch Smith
1.081.58
now 1.47
1.24
Trevor Richards
1.081.58
now 1.19
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Burch Smith
4035
now 20
28
Trevor Richards
4035
now 14
29
Winshigher is better
Burch Smith
.000.480
now 0
00
Trevor Richards
.000.480
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBurch Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeTrevor Richards — hold.conf 0.50
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