Rest of Season Projection
BurchCategorySeth
34K ←33
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
0–0W0–0
0SV0
Current Season
BurchCategorySeth
20K ←13
3.18ERA →2.92
1.47WHIP ←1.54
0W0
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Burch Smith
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.30)
Seth Halvorsen
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.273 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 6.96 is 3.51 above the ERA — regression coming
Burch Smith: 34 K / 3.70 ERA. Seth Halvorsen: 33 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).